Will The U.S. Defend Japan? More Of A Definite Maybe -- Paul Sracic, The Diplomat
Recent history ought to teach us the dangers of assuming a ‘slam dunk.’
The late New York Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan once famously observed, “[P]olitics is an argument about the future, and no one knows that future.” Despite this warning, in recent weeks Jun Okumura and I have both tried our hand at predicting a future that neither of us can be confident in knowing. Still, the gravity of the event that we are both speculating about – the landing of Chinese troops on the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands and the concomitant reaction of the U.S. government – is such that it needs to be discussed and debated. That is why I am grateful for Mr. Okumura’s thoughtful response to my article. Although he no longer works for the Japanese government, those in leadership positions in Japan likely share Mr. Okumura’s understandings. Therefore, if I am right and Mr. Okumura is wrong, then perhaps the Japanese government’s actions are being guided by a false and therefore dangerous impression.
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My Comment: Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand .... these four countries are America's critical allies in Asia. Taiwan are the Philippines are also important .... but less so. If the U.S. does not come to the defense of Japan in the event of hostilities .... each and everyone of these countries will then evaluate and change their strategic relationship with the U.S. ... and in the end they will acquiesce to a China dominated Asia.
But as to the question .... "Will the U.S. Defend Japan"? My answer is yes ... because the alternative is incomprehensible.
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